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Date: 16 Mar 00 09:05:29 CST
From: Mike Gault <gaultmike@ne*.ne*>
To: "dmdalton" <dmdalton@qu*.ne*>
Subject: Re: [Re: [RE: [RE: Is there a thing like inofficial training? was Re: Bonda ge Wi ngs]]]
CC: techdiver@aquanaut.com
First of all, I don't think anyone is saying that supply and demand are n=
ot at
work here.  My point is that what is being demanded is not what we need
because the diving public is ill/missinformed.

I totally agree with your points one and two and I don't favor a governme=
nt
assigned examiner, in part because of the same reasons you mentioned in y=
our
closing paragraph.

Other professions don't seem to have the same problem as diving, as far a=
s the
selection process for their members.  For example, the accounting profess=
ion
is examined by a seperate non-government body that is independent of the
groups that prepare people for the C.P.A. exam.  I think Engineers and
Attorneys have a similar process.  Although the examining body may be
recognized by the government.  There are plenty of engineers and attorney=
s on
the list that can correct me on this if necessary.  Now, as I am sure som=
eone
will point out, the feasibility of the implementation of this is another
story.

The scary thing is the current state of the industry is what is most like=
ly to
be used as a standard.  The current state of the industry is what we are
wanting to improve upon.  This means that the RSTC standards, or somethin=
g
that approximates them, would most likely be used.  Then it would be more=

difficult, if not impossible, for someone to come along and do what has b=
een
done like at GUE.

More importantly, I think that the quality of diver training would be bet=
ter
if the retail sales function were seperated from training.  This would
eliminate another conflict of interest that is paramount in this business=
=2E =

Although it will be interesting to see what happens here now that there i=
s an
equipment manufacturer and training agency that are producing products an=
d
training that are consistent with each others application.

Mike



"dmdalton" <dmdalton@qu*.ne*> wrote:
Kevin, Mike and the list,

Actually supply and demand are alive and well here!

This phenomenon is encapsulated in a economic theory I formulated after
years of trying to make money from various activities that I enjoyed. Tha=
t
theory is called "Dalton's Law of Stupid Supply"  (not related to Dalton'=
s
Law of Partial Pressures). This law states "There is no end to the number=
 of
stupid people standing in line trying to make a dollar doing something th=
at
they think is fun and will to do it for an ever decreasing amount of mone=
y.
How little money they will accept is inversely proportional to how much f=
un
they think the activity is and how much their ego is inflated by
participating in this activity."

This isn't limited to the dive industry. When I was skiing and taking
instruction in Vermont in the mid 70's, every ski instructor I met only d=
id
it to get time on the slopes and made next to nothing at it. Does ski-bum=

ring a bell?

Which, it follows is why supply & demand are causing the low prices for d=
ive
classes and the ever lowering of the hurdle to become a certified diver. =
Too
large of supply of diving instructors for the demand of their service.If
there were only 10 diving instructors in all of FL you could easily get
$2000-3000 to learn to dive. Instead, in some areas of FL dive shops are
more prevalent than gas stations and it has become (I am told) the home o=
f
the $99 dive course.

When I taught diving in the Washington DC area (73-80) shops paid
instructors $40 per student in a class of 10 students. There were no
divemasters or assistant instructors, but if you had a buddy or a former
student that was looking to get some extra dive time in you gave them a f=
ree
air fill and got help for free. My son was certified 3 years ago by a fri=
end
of mine. I asked him what he got and he said $40 a student, but then he p=
ays
a couple of assistant instructors or divemasters $20 a day (X 2 days) to
help with the check out dives. This fellow works for me on a government
contract at a rate of ~ $30 hour. He said because of the extra time he
usually puts in to help his students, if he made the same rate teaching
diving he would make $3000-4000 per OW class.

Two problems

1) Everyone I have ever known who took lessons and became a diver has
fanaticized (maybe only in secret) about making money at doing this.

2) There is no controlling authority that tests and certifies you, that
doesn't have a monetary stake in whether or not you make the grade (does
"conflict of interest" ring a bell?).

Compare learning to fly (which costs $2500- $4000). First you must spend =
at
least (I believe) 10 hours dual time with instructor for which the
instructor is paid $20 + an hour (would be higher but this is too much fu=
n
and the instructor is booking hours for his commercial ticket - like my
brother is doing right now). Then, if you are really good you can solo - =
but
most will need more dual time. Then you put in some more time until you
clock minimum of 40 hrs stick time - but national average is more like
50-60. Some of this time is again with the instructor at $20 +. After you=

can do everything you schedule your test flight with the FAA rep who coul=
d
care less if you pass or fail. He gets a government salary either way - i=
n
fact if he fails you he thinks he is protecting society from you (which h=
e
is).

Although I hate the idea of more government control, I think maybe the
recreational diving industry needs a similar type of procedure to insure
that the instruction truly meets the need. I don't really like the
government doing it since they usually make matters worse. Also the threa=
t
to unsafe diving practices is solely to one's self, not the public at lar=
ge
and the end result of passing legislation designed to save fools from the=
ir
folly, is to populate the world with fools.


----- Original Message -----
From: Kevin Connell <kevin@nw*.co*>
To: Mike Gault <gaultmike@ne*.ne*>
Cc: <techdiver@aquanaut.com>
Sent: Wednesday, March 15, 2000 8:33 AM
Subject: Re: [RE: [RE: Is there a thing like inofficial training? was Re:=

Bonda ge Wi ngs]]


> At 05:25 PM 3/14/2000 -0600, John Gault's Evil Twin Brother wrote:
>
> >As for unprofitability, the problem is that the general public(consume=
rs)
> >determine this to a great extent and there is definitely no controllin=
g
> >consumers.  Many have gone bankrupt attempting this.
>
> Yes, the diving industry alone is the only place on the planet
> where  supply and demand don't determine price.  The more likely
> explanation is dive facilities go bankrupt because they don't understan=
d
> the basic rules of economics in a competitive environment.
>
>
>
>
>
> ----------------------------------
>   Kevin Connell <kevin@nw*.co*>
>
>   NW Labor Systems, Inc
>   http://www.nwls.com
>
>   Res tantum valet quantum vendi potest.
>   (A thing is only worth what someone else
>    is willing to pay for it)
>
> ----------------------------------
>
> --
> Send mail for the `techdiver' mailing list to `techdiver@aquanaut.com'.=

> Send subscribe/unsubscribe requests to `techdiver-request@aquanaut.com'=
=2E
>

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