On Wed, 19 Jul 1995, Paul W. Smith wrote: > > Now, add two more identical computers, any one of which can fully operate > > the system. The computer complexity has just increased by a factor of 3, > > so the probability of a component failure has tripled. However, since 3 > > simultaneous computer failures are required to bring the whole system > > down, the probability of a system failure is the cube root of the > > probability of a single computer failure (i.e., MUCH less -- assuming the > > three computers are truly independant entities). > > Golly, Batman- do you suppose that could apply to SCUBA sets, too? My guess is that you, and almost everyone on this list, already applies it to open-circuit SCUBA. Here, I'll rephrase it: Take a scuba tank. Now, add a Y-valve and a second regulator, either one of which can provide you with breathing gas from your tank. The regulator complexity has just increased by a factor of 2, so the probability of a regulator failure has doubled. However, since simultaneous regulator failures are required to bring the whole system down, the probability of a system failure is MUCH less than the probability of a single regulator failure (assuming the two regulators are truly independant entities, which means they can be isolated in the event of a blown hose).* *Note: I've removed the math because it's incorrect.... Aloha, Rich
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