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Date: Sun, 03 Sep 2000 22:08:25 -0400
From: Guy Morin <xnet@vi*.ca*>
Subject: Re: 80/20 deco
To: john.r.strohm@BI*.co*
Cc: billwolk@ea*.ne*, techdiver@aquanaut.com

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Hi John,

Thank you for the insights, please read below.


john.r.strohm@BI*.co* wrote:

> >Do you, or the WKPP, have an algorithm that can
> >actually demonstrate the clear advantage of 50/100 decompression? I'll bet
> >that the answer is: "No". Why do I know that for a fact? Because if you did
> >have such an animal, there is little doubt in my mind that you would take
> >great pleasure in putting my nose in it.
>
> Guy, you are probably correct when you say that the WKPP doesn't have such
> an algorithm.
>
> On the other hand, the question you asked is a strawman.  The real question
> is whether practical experience shows that 50/100 deco is better.  The real
> answer, developed over many thousands of diver-hours in the Woodville Karst
> Plain, is "Yes, beyond any reasonable doubt."

They haven't comparables experience with the 36/80 to make a claim either
way. They've always done it with 50/100 because the logistics of that
combination is the only one that can be used with any practicality for the
scale of the project they are undertaking. That is just a logistical fact.

Here's another one for you: I bet that WKPP doesn't have a quarter of
the experience with 36/80 as with 50/100, on second thought, make that one
tenth. In fact I would stake that the WKPP doesn't have 1/100, that's one
percent of the experience they have with 50/100 in using 36/80.

I'll go further to say that it's probably impossible for them to garner
that level of experience with the 36/80 combination, they'll be wiped
out, there are just not enough person-hours in a year to do that. Remember
that it isn't just the effort in blending, but it's also tweaking all those
schedules to make sure everyone is both offgassing enough, and
not toxing out. That would be a very dirty job, and I certainly wouldn't
wish it on anyone.

And that you see, is my point.

>
>
> Physics and medicine are both empirical sciences.  Theory is well and good,
> but practical experience trumps theory every time.  A theory that does not
> agree with the practical experience is at best incomplete, more likely
> wrong, possibly very dangerously wrong.  Decompression develops out of both
> physics and medicine, and, as such, must equally be regarded as empirical
> at the core.  This means that you cannot ignore practical experience in
> discussion of decompression theories.  Your hypothesis, that 36/80 deco is
> just as good as 50/100, flies directly in the face of the WKPP experiential
> database, and must, by the fundamental rules of empirical science, be
> discarded or modified.

There empirical database could only hope to validate 50/100 decompression,
and in now way allows comparison with 36/80 statistics that do not exist in
their
database. It would also fly in the face of common sense to condemn another
approach to decompression on the absence of similar test data.

Yes they could provide guidelines, and statistics on using 50/100 deco
with a certain confidence level, no question. It does stop there. They do
not have the empirical data to compare with other options or decompression
schedules unless they undergo comparable field studies. Again, that seems
to be acceptable from an auditor's point of view.

A final point on the debate regarding theory and empirical models. We know
for a fact that all applied sciences strive to perfect models that apply to
the real world with a certain level of confidence, and with a certain level
of computational efficiency. It is rarely the other way around.

The human race used to take centuries to build monuments, and the effort
was often one of trial and error. Today, we errect structures that are true
modern day monuments, and we do this in a matter of weeks. Likewise, we
have a rather high level of expectation on the durability and reliability of
those structures. Would it be acceptable to you to hear every evening,
on the six o'clock news that another skyscraper just collapsed? Is this
crystal clear? Can we all make the leap here? We cannot wait for a person-
century of experience to cut a decompression schedule. We must have
models that will, within reasonable bounds of confidence, take us to and
from where we want to go, and we must do this between the time it takes
to blend, and the time it takes to get ourselves to the site. Are we all on
the same page?

At the end of the day, to every diver on the face of the planet, it is the
model that will be of prime import. Dependence on a single decompression
strategy negates flexibility, and could prevent someone from diving
given (other) logistical constraints. Flexibility is again paramount.

>
>
> NOW, if you had instead advanced the statement that "Existing theory says
> that 36/80 deco should be just as good as 50/100, maybe a little better,
> but practical experience shows in detail that this is not so, and therefore
> we need to refine the theory", then this particular flamethrower party
> would not be happening.

That's a roger John. I must say that the needle that broke the camel's back
was indeed the statement that 50/100 was better, and if you just look at
the residual tissue numbers... Human nature, after that statement, well,
I thought that if things were getting this silly, it was high time we aired
all the dirty laundry.

It could have been less messy, but this is hopefully stimulating, and will
prevent folks from going in with blinders on. Some of the "myths" were
a hazard, and it is important for people to realize the implications of
what they are saying. Details do count in this business.

We collectively accept the algorithm calculating as if it was 100% O2
all the way, but do we stop and think that we're not doing that? Tell
me that doesn't matter.

We collectively think that taking breaks from pure O2 decompression
increases lung efficiency, that's wrong. Taking breaks curbs lung damage,
possibly prevents it, and mitigates decreased lung efficiency. Why do people
have this false assumption that lung performance is somehow enhanced
by taking breaks from pure O2 breathing. This is just another dangerous
myth. Yet we accept these things, and we even berate people for pointing
these realities out. Double expresso here, coffee just isn't cutting it!

This will be of service, maybe a bitter pill, but that's life.

--
Guy



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Content-transfer-encoding: 7bit

<!doctype html public "-//w3c//dtd html 4.0 transitional//en">
<html>
Hi John,
<p>Thank you for the insights, please read below.
<br> 
<p>john.r.strohm@BI*.co* wrote:
<blockquote TYPE=CITE>>Do you, or the WKPP, have an algorithm that can
<br>>actually demonstrate the clear advantage of 50/100 decompression?
I'll bet
<br>>that the answer is: "No". Why do I know that for a fact? Because if
you did
<br>>have such an animal, there is little doubt in my mind that you would
take
<br>>great pleasure in putting my nose in it.
<p>Guy, you are probably correct when you say that the WKPP doesn't have
such
<br>an algorithm.
<p>On the other hand, the question you asked is a strawman.  The real
question
<br>is whether practical experience shows that 50/100 deco is better. 
The real
<br>answer, developed over many thousands of diver-hours in the Woodville
Karst
<br>Plain, is "Yes, beyond any reasonable doubt."</blockquote>
They haven't comparables experience with the 36/80 to make a claim either
<br>way. They've always done it with 50/100 because the logistics of that
<br>combination is the only one that can be used with any practicality
for the
<br>scale of the project they are undertaking. That is just a logistical
fact.
<p>Here's another one for you: I bet that WKPP doesn't have a quarter of
<br>the experience with 36/80 as with 50/100, on second thought, make that
one
<br>tenth. In fact I would stake that the WKPP doesn't have 1/100, that's
one
<br>percent of the experience they have with 50/100 in using 36/80.
<p>I'll go further to say that it's probably impossible for them to garner
<br>that level of experience with the 36/80 combination, they'll be wiped
<br>out, there are just not enough person-hours in a year to do that.
Remember
<br>that it isn't just the effort in blending, but it's also tweaking all
those
<br>schedules to make sure everyone is both offgassing enough, and
<br>not toxing out. That would be a very dirty job, and I certainly wouldn't
<br>wish it on anyone.
<p>And that you see, is my point.
<blockquote TYPE=CITE> 
<p>Physics and medicine are both empirical sciences.  Theory is well
and good,
<br>but practical experience trumps theory every time.  A theory that
does not
<br>agree with the practical experience is at best incomplete, more likely
<br>wrong, possibly very dangerously wrong.  Decompression develops
out of both
<br>physics and medicine, and, as such, must equally be regarded as empirical
<br>at the core.  This means that you cannot ignore practical experience
in
<br>discussion of decompression theories.  Your hypothesis, that 36/80
deco is
<br>just as good as 50/100, flies directly in the face of the WKPP
experiential
<br>database, and must, by the fundamental rules of empirical science,
be
<br>discarded or modified.</blockquote>
There empirical database could only hope to validate 50/100 decompression,
<br>and in now way allows comparison with 36/80 statistics that do not
exist in their
<br>database. It would also fly in the face of common sense to condemn
another
<br>approach to decompression on the absence of similar test data.
<p>Yes they could provide guidelines, and statistics on using 50/100 deco
<br>with a certain confidence level, no question. It does stop there. They
do
<br>not have the empirical data to compare with other options or
decompression
<br>schedules unless they undergo comparable field studies. Again, that
seems
<br>to be acceptable from an auditor's point of view.
<p>A final point on the debate regarding theory and empirical models. We
know
<br>for a fact that all applied sciences strive to perfect models that
apply to
<br>the real world with a certain level of confidence, and with a certain
level
<br>of computational efficiency. It is rarely the other way around.
<p>The human race used to take centuries to build monuments, and the effort
<br>was often one of trial and error. Today, we errect structures that
are true
<br>modern day monuments, and we do this in a matter of weeks. Likewise,
we
<br>have a rather high level of expectation on the durability and reliability
of
<br>those structures. Would it be acceptable to you to hear every evening,
<br>on the six o'clock news that another skyscraper just collapsed? Is
this
<br>crystal clear? Can we all make the leap here? We cannot wait for a
person-
<br>century of experience to cut a decompression schedule. We must have
<br>models that will, within reasonable bounds of confidence, take us to
and
<br>from where we want to go, and we must do this between the time it takes
<br>to blend, and the time it takes to get ourselves to the site. Are we
all on
<br>the same page?
<p>At the end of the day, to every diver on the face of the planet, it
is the
<br>model that will be of prime import. Dependence on a single decompression
<br>strategy negates flexibility, and could prevent someone from diving
<br>given (other) logistical constraints. Flexibility is again paramount.
<blockquote TYPE=CITE> 
<p>NOW, if you had instead advanced the statement that "Existing theory
says
<br>that 36/80 deco should be just as good as 50/100, maybe a little better,
<br>but practical experience shows in detail that this is not so, and
therefore
<br>we need to refine the theory", then this particular flamethrower party
<br>would not be happening.</blockquote>

<p><br>That's a roger John. I must say that the needle that broke the
camel's
back
<br>was indeed the statement that 50/100 was better, and if you just look
at
<br>the residual tissue numbers... Human nature, after that statement,
well,
<br>I thought that if things were getting this silly, it was high time
we aired
<br>all the dirty laundry.
<p>It could have been less messy, but this is hopefully stimulating, and
will
<br>prevent folks from going in with blinders on. Some of the "myths" were
<br>a hazard, and it is important for people to realize the implications
of
<br>what they are saying. Details do count in this business.
<p>We collectively accept the algorithm calculating as if it was 100% O2
<br>all the way, but do we stop and think that we're not doing that? Tell
<br>me that doesn't matter.
<p>We collectively think that taking breaks from pure O2 decompression
<br>increases lung efficiency, that's wrong. Taking breaks curbs lung damage,
<br>possibly prevents it, and mitigates decreased lung efficiency. Why
do people
<br>have this false assumption that lung performance is somehow enhanced
<br>by taking breaks from pure O2 breathing. This is just another dangerous
<br>myth. Yet we accept these things, and we even berate people for pointing
<br>these realities out. Double expresso here, coffee just isn't cutting
it!
<p>This will be of service, maybe a bitter pill, but that's life.
<pre>-- 
Guy</pre>
 </html>

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