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why don't you keep your models to yourself and if any of us are concerned we will look you up. Obviously you have not been doing any serious diving lately. go out and practice your models like the WKPP and see if it works. Like mee said bring a shovel. Erik >From danreind@ao*.co* Thu Oct 1 11:13:44 1998 >Received: from imo12.mx.aol.com (imo12.mx.aol.com [198.81.17.2]) > by zen.kr.com (8.9.0/8.9.0) with ESMTP id NAA27511 > for <cavers@ca*.co*>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 13:44:04 -0400 (EDT) >From: DanReind@ao*.co* >Received: from DanReind@ao*.co* > by imo12.mx.aol.com (IMOv16.10) id HOBZa19214; > Thu, 1 Oct 1998 13:51:20 -0400 (EDT) >Message-ID: <b1745e49.3613c118@ao*.co*> >Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 13:51:20 EDT >To: wwm@sa*.ne*, z4d2@ug*.cs*.ub*.ca* >Cc: rebreather@nw*.co*, cavers@ca*.co*, techdiver@aquanaut.com, > kirvine@sa*.ne*, armantrout@wo*.at*.ne*, halcyon@ha*.ne*, > rose@cs*.sc*.ed* >Mime-Version: 1.0 >Subject: Re: "Whiz Kid" wins Lockwood Award - was Re: OC bailout >Content-type: text/plain; charset=US-ASCII >Content-transfer-encoding: 7bit >X-Mailer: AOL 3.0 16-bit for Windows sub 38 > >Cute. Hey, nothing wrong with being a child prodigy (err not exactly). > >The only problem is you got my point wrong. > > I did in fact state that oxygen spiking was more dangerous at the end of a >long dive than at the beginning. Particularly if you've survived up to that >point (i.e. all the risk is behind you on the shallow part of the dive are >behind you). I certainly don't recommend doing it. But here's what I was >getting it. If you line 100 monkeys up and have half of them do a dive with a >spike at the beginning and half at the end, the models seem to predict that >more monkeys will come back doing the spike at the end. This is very similar >to the idea that you have a 1 in 36 chance of rolling a six, but having rolled >a six your odds of another six are now only 1 in six. > >I would be very suprised if anybody actually changed their diving habits based >on what I've found. But I'll put it out for whoever wants to read it. I >think most people will agree I put enough caveats in. > >But if anybody out there finds an error in my analysis of the data or >interperetation please drop me a line. > >Regards, > >Daniel Reinders > ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com -- Send mail for the `techdiver' mailing list to `techdiver@aquanaut.com'. Send subscribe/unsubscribe requests to `techdiver-request@aquanaut.com'.
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