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Date: Thu, 2 Jan 1997 20:37:59 -0500
From: Anthony DeBoer <adb@he*.re*.or*>
To: techdiver@terra.net
Subject: Re: My question about independents
Organization: Linda's Dragon Memorial Society
Dave Mabry  <dmabry@mi*.co*> wrote:
>I would conclude that since the pro-independent croud really can't point
>out advantages of independents that make them safer, that indeed they
>ARE NOT safer!

I am NOT advocating independents with this posting, but this wouldn't be
the Techdiver list if somebody didn't play the devil's advocate.

The safety advantages would relate to the systems being independent,
thereby limiting the amount of air you could lose due to any incident to
only that in one side if:
  - you didn't hear air escaping.
  - you couldn't get to your valves, due to being in a restriction, task
  loaded with your hands full with something else, wearing the wrong dry
  suit, etc.
  - you couldn't figure out which side to shut off.
  - you forgot to check air, or the gauge jammed, and you went below plan
  (you've only sucked half the system dry and not the whole system).
  - you can't lose everything to a blown valve stem in an isolator valve
  or to a compromised crossover bar.

Now, for my honest opinion, I think there are advantages on both sides, or
else we wouldn't be having this debate.  If one method was a win from all
possible points of view, we'd all be taking it for granted.

A big issue is the probability of each failure mode.  If one system has an
apparent weakness that in actual practise will kill one diver every five
years, while the weaknesses of the other system kill three divers a year,
you want to go with the first system.  Robb Wolov's posting the other day
about NATOPS and how the US Navy does things hits the nail on the head
quite well: you need a bunch of people out there doing it according to the
same book, with a strong accident-reporting and analysis system, so that
you can quantify how things actually work in the real world and adjust your
methods accordingly.  Armchair analysis has its limitations; a
one-in-a-billion problem can look like a show-stopper, while something
that looks surmountable and/or easily avoidable can be a killer.  Based on
the evidence presented here, it looks like a manifolded system has the
better track record.

Also, neither system is a gun-to-your-head killer.  This is a good system
up against a better system.  99% of independents divers will live to a
ripe old age, while perhaps 99.9% of manifold divers will, so any
argument is going to meet up with a goodly number of live, healthy,
skeptical independents divers.

A wise man once said "The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle
to the strong ... but time and chance happen to them all".  A later
commentator added that "that's still the way to place your bets, though".
I'll go diving with a manifold, thank you.

(BTW, that same wise man also said "Two are better than one; because they
have a good reward for their labour.  For if they fall, the one will lift
up his fellow: but woe to him that is alone when he falleth; for he hath
not another to help him up.   Again, if two lie together, then they have
heat: but how can one be warm alone?   And if one prevail against him,
two shall withstand him; and a threefold cord is not quickly broken."
Amazing what you can copy-and-paste out of the Good Book.  This would be
the Scriptural view on solo diving, buddy pairs, and cave triples.  Both
quotes are from Ecclesiastes, if anyone wants to look them up.)

So in conclusion, the independents system is bad only in light of there
being a better alternative.  Three years from now we'll probably be
flaming anyone who still dives a manifolded open-circuit system when
anybody in their right mind would be using a rebreather.

-- 
Anthony DeBoer                                  http://www.onramp.ca/~adb/
adb@he*.re*.or* (here)
adb@ge*.co* (work)                             #include "std.disclaimer"

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