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Date: Tue, 23 Jul 1996 11:08:03 -0700 (PDT)
From: "Peter N.R. Heseltine" <heseltin@hs*.us*.ed*>
To: gmiiii@in*.co*
cc: David Doolette <ddoolett@me*.ad*.ed*.au*>, currier@hs*.us*.ed*,
     techdiver@terra.net
Subject: Re: Checking for PFO
George:

On Mon, 22 Jul 1996 gmiiii@in*.co* wrote:

> Pete, a simple echocardiogram will do the trick for most PFO's.

I don't blame you for not reading to the end of my post. It was too long.
Here's my point: Every test has to be judged by its specificity and its
sensitivity. i.e., the true positive and false negative rate. I don't doubt
that if you *find* a PFO with any of these tests, one exists. So it's
specific. But, I also don't think that the test is very sensitive; I
suspect that maybe *everyone* can "lift the seat" if they try hard enough.
So why tell the 30% of folk who actually get the test that they cannot
dive (I think PFO is usually considered an absolute contraindication to
diving), when maybe almost everyone is at risk under the right (or wrong)
circumstances?

> Well, when somebody gets a mysterious CNS hit, and DAN calls
> it "unearned" is this not a little bit suspicious to you?

So if the test is not sensitive enough to pick these cases up, then would
these events have been prevented? I think not.

> Come on Pete, tell these guys to get checked before they check out.

How many photographers hold their breath to control their buoyancy while
shooting? How many shooting on a surging reef, pop up 10-15 fsw while doing
this? I see it happen all the time - the guy (or woman) surges up and no
bubbles (no rebreather either). Concentrate on diving better, not on the
false assurance some test in a doctor's office gives you.

I do not discourage anyone from getting any test that their pocketbook,
insurance and "medical provider" can dream up. I'd be drummed out of the
guild if I said otherwise. That's the American way - the right to consult
with any medical specialist you can afford. I know that comes right after
pursuit of happiness. But it's also American to ask what exactly are you
getting for your money? If the test doesn't reasonably exclude a PFO, it's
worthless. Are you going to pay me to test your tanks by tapping on the
outside and telling you what's on the inside? If so, I have this
bridge....

> So which is it Pete? Get an aids test which <1% of the
> population has, or get a PFO test which 30% have?

If a 100% of folks had either condition you wouldn't need to do any test.
I have this $15 test to detect if you are alive: I tell you that your
co-payment on this visit will be $1000 and watch your reaction.
Paradoxically, the higher the true frequency of the condition the less
accurate the test can afford to be, and still hit the mark.I think if you
are going to do deco diving, particularly where if you take a hit you may
endanger your buddies, it is not unreasonable to be checked for PFO. But I
would sure like a better (more sensitive) test and I would really like to
know what the *in water* dynamics of this are. Maybe the extra pressure on
your chest from the water keeps the PFO closed 99.999% of the time, even
in people who have one. And George, get tested. We'll all feel safer ;-)

> Talk your way out of this one

For an Irishman? No sweat, Georgie.

	-peter heseltine

		"Safer diving through wiser physiology"

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